レースタイム予測計算機 – リーゲル式
最近のレースをもとに任意の距離のタイムを予測。リーゲル式: T2 = T1 × (D2/D1)^1.06。
"Race time prediction models based on physiological parameters and known race results are valid tools for setting realistic goal times at new distances. The Riegel formula and VO2max-based models account for the increasing metabolic cost of longer distances, with accuracy improving for distances within 2–3x of the known result."
💡 ご存知でしたか？
- The Riegel formula for race time prediction uses the equation T2 = T1 × (D2/D1)^1.06, where the exponent 1.06 captures the non-linear fatigue of running longer distances.
- Pete Riegel first published his race prediction formula in a 1977 issue of American Scientist magazine.
- Race time predictions become less accurate beyond the marathon because extreme fatigue, pacing strategy, and nutrition create much more individual variation than shorter distances.