Yarış Süresi Tahmincisi – Riegel Formülü
Son yarış performansınıza dayanarak herhangi bir mesafe için bitiş süresini tahmin edin.
"Race time prediction models based on physiological parameters and known race results are valid tools for setting realistic goal times at new distances. The Riegel formula and VO2max-based models account for the increasing metabolic cost of longer distances, with accuracy improving for distances within 2–3x of the known result."
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- The Riegel formula for race time prediction uses the equation T2 = T1 × (D2/D1)^1.06, where the exponent 1.06 captures the non-linear fatigue of running longer distances.
- Pete Riegel first published his race prediction formula in a 1977 issue of American Scientist magazine.
- Race time predictions become less accurate beyond the marathon because extreme fatigue, pacing strategy, and nutrition create much more individual variation than shorter distances.